Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 113.339861 129.989308 149.174390 173.134331 202.565345 237.947706 2.843399e+02
2025-04-06 90.334789 111.117255 137.528111 174.363616 225.779270 297.238296 4.084221e+02
2025-04-13 77.163012 99.176512 128.965896 173.713810 242.086880 348.061701 5.375070e+02
2025-04-20 70.512779 94.012106 127.553797 181.331105 270.588211 424.229774 7.410814e+02
2025-04-27 66.892744 92.192813 130.117793 194.795984 311.255862 534.699942 1.074853e+03
2025-05-04 60.733570 85.625986 124.228619 193.017934 324.520488 598.760550 1.354287e+03
2025-05-11 56.420507 81.250923 121.011854 194.929020 344.868671 685.601504 1.769330e+03
2025-05-18 51.927954 76.031454 115.616357 191.750876 353.916598 750.478152 2.188071e+03
2025-05-25 48.901026 72.831233 113.175280 193.601902 374.181343 853.529619 2.885608e+03
2025-06-01 45.908647 69.365865 109.803932 192.954199 388.554313 948.320773 3.716899e+03
2025-06-08 42.958849 65.689350 105.611492 189.883831 396.270425 1027.921324 4.649167e+03
2025-06-15 41.748771 64.893749 106.603082 197.947099 434.947335 1236.560995 7.081482e+03
2025-06-22 38.573832 60.570391 100.851193 191.143547 434.324397 1313.977670 8.976548e+03
2025-06-29 36.580765 58.231130 98.748892 192.519691 458.624397 1519.963878 1.384545e+04
2025-07-06 34.594811 55.713128 95.976780 191.777747 476.556467 1719.952160 2.129958e+04
2025-07-13 33.691143 55.110128 96.986151 200.486921 528.932077 2168.821139 4.665582e+04
2025-07-20 33.387385 55.601162 100.316257 215.923931 613.327143 2979.569215 1.752769e+05
2025-07-27 31.712517 53.283392 97.341328 213.882445 631.560953 3374.035727 4.449664e+05
2025-08-03 30.498879 51.774615 95.973111 216.076713 668.686347 4032.024602 2.630925e+06
2025-08-10 28.984710 49.550267 92.771996 212.428214 679.599439 4484.215391 3.310278e+07
2025-08-17 27.973590 48.268545 91.586321 214.552834 718.553624 5403.581587 NaN
2025-08-24 26.860543 46.697397 89.572078 213.809283 744.158224 6286.688391 NaN
2025-08-31 25.667120 44.881266 86.814561 210.286206 754.627940 7025.082632 NaN